5. Collapse -
It synthesizes decades of research into a single, cohesive framework.
Social (loss of faith that "your people" will provide) 5. Collapse
Jem Bendell’s Deep Adaptation paper (2018/2024) is highly influential in activist circles, arguing that societal collapse is now inevitable and we must shift from "mitigation" to "preparedness". It synthesizes decades of research into a single,
The Five Stages of Collapse by Dmitry Orlov .Orlov tracks the sequential breakdown of modern systems: Stage 1: Financial (loss of faith in "business as usual") 5. Collapse
A 2014 study comparing the 1972 Limits to Growth model with actual historical data found that the "Business as Usual" scenario—predicting a global collapse mid-21st century—remains remarkably accurate.